What a year of A/B tests taught us
Most tests are inconclusive — and that's the point. Lessons from twelve months of being wrong politely.
Most tests are inconclusive — and that’s the point. Lessons from twelve months of being wrong politely.
The shape of a year
Of roughly forty experiments, six moved the needle, eight broke something, and the rest taught us we didn’t have a strong opinion in the first place.
What we stopped testing
- Button color. Always.
- Copy variants without a hypothesis.
- Anything we couldn’t afford to lose for two weeks.
If you can’t describe the loss case, you don’t have a test — you have a coin flip with extra steps.
What we test now
Structural changes: who sees what, in what order, with what default. Tests at that level move enough to be worth the wait.
A short rule of thumb
Key takeaways
- Have a hypothesis, not just a variant.
- Decide the kill criteria before launching.
- Read inconclusive as a real result, not a failure.