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What a year of A/B tests taught us

Most tests are inconclusive — and that's the point. Lessons from twelve months of being wrong politely.

AlinyAlinySplendor teamJan 13, 20261 min read

Most tests are inconclusive — and that’s the point. Lessons from twelve months of being wrong politely.

The shape of a year

Of roughly forty experiments, six moved the needle, eight broke something, and the rest taught us we didn’t have a strong opinion in the first place.

What we stopped testing

  • Button color. Always.
  • Copy variants without a hypothesis.
  • Anything we couldn’t afford to lose for two weeks.

If you can’t describe the loss case, you don’t have a test — you have a coin flip with extra steps.

What we test now

Structural changes: who sees what, in what order, with what default. Tests at that level move enough to be worth the wait.

A short rule of thumb

Key takeaways

  • Have a hypothesis, not just a variant.
  • Decide the kill criteria before launching.
  • Read inconclusive as a real result, not a failure.
Aliny
AlinySplendor team · Splendor

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